Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.25%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
