Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 50.43%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 21.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
