SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| 27 | Talleres | 13 | -13 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Talleres |
38.7% ( -0.04) | 27.84% ( 0.03) | 33.45% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.04% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.16% ( -0.1) | 57.84% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.43% ( -0.08) | 78.56% ( 0.08) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.98% ( -0.08) | 29.02% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.08% ( -0.09) | 64.92% ( 0.09) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.68% ( -0.05) | 32.32% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.18% ( -0.05) | 68.82% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Talleres |
| 1-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.67% Total : 38.7% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 33.45% |
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