Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 69.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 8.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 21.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.64%) and 3-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.66%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
