SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 9 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | Atletico Mineiro | 10 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Athletico Paranaense | 10 | -1 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Fluminense | 10 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | America Mineiro | 10 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Santos | 10 | 4 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 69.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 8.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 21.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.64%) and 3-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.66%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | America Mineiro |
| 69.15% | 22.56% | 8.29% |
| Both teams to score 26.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.12% | 65.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.5% | 84.5% |
| Atletico Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.16% | 18.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.71% | 50.29% |
| America Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 32.75% | 67.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 6.07% | 93.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | America Mineiro |
| 1-0 @ 21.14% 2-0 @ 17.64% 3-0 @ 9.82% 2-1 @ 7% 4-0 @ 4.1% 3-1 @ 3.9% 4-1 @ 1.63% 5-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.54% Total : 69.13% | 0-0 @ 12.66% 1-1 @ 8.39% 2-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.55% | 0-1 @ 5.03% 1-2 @ 1.67% 0-2 @ 1% Other @ 0.6% Total : 8.29% |
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