Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 53.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for America Mineiro in this match.
