Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fluminense in this match.
Result | ||
Internacional | Draw | Fluminense |
43.15% ( 0.04) | 25.68% ( 0) | 31.17% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 54.03% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.13% ( -0.05) | 49.87% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.13% ( -0.04) | 71.86% ( 0.04) |
Internacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.99% ( -0) | 23% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.19% ( -0) | 56.81% ( 0) |
Fluminense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.17% ( -0.05) | 29.83% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.09% ( -0.06) | 65.91% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Internacional | Draw | Fluminense |
1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 43.15% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.02% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0) Other @ 3.29% Total : 31.17% |
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