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Brasileiro | Gameweek 19
Aug 13, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
S

Fortaleza
4 - 0
Santos

Machuca (58'), Basso (80' og.), Alexandre (83'), Pacheco (90+1')
Machuca (18'), Titi (41')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Fernandez (38')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Santos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Libertad
Tuesday, August 8 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Santos 1-1 Athletico PR
Saturday, August 5 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Santos had a probability of 16.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawSantos
59.26% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 23.84% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05) 16.91% (-0.026 -0.03)
Both teams to score 44.01% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.77% (0.16 0.16)55.22% (-0.161 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.54% (0.13 0.13)76.46% (-0.131 -0.13)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.58% (0.088999999999999 0.09)18.42% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.42% (0.149 0.15)49.58% (-0.15 -0.15)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.95% (0.061 0.06)46.05% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.24% (0.045999999999999 0.05)81.76% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 59.25%
    Santos 16.91%
    Draw 23.83%
FortalezaDrawSantos
1-0 @ 14.35% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 12.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.85% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.9% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.25% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 59.25%
1-1 @ 11.12% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.48% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.65% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 23.83%
0-1 @ 6.58% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 0.94% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 16.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Libertad
Tuesday, August 8 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Goias 1-0 Fortaleza
Saturday, August 5 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Libertad 0-1 Fortaleza
Tuesday, August 1 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-3 Bragantino
Saturday, July 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 3-1 Fortaleza
Saturday, July 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-1 Cuiaba
Sunday, July 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 1-1 Athletico PR
Saturday, August 5 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Santos
Saturday, July 29 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 2-2 Botafogo
Sunday, July 23 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 4-1 Santos
Sunday, July 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 4-3 Goias
Sunday, July 9 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 3-0 Santos
Sunday, July 2 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro


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