Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Santos had a probability of 16.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Santos
59.26% ( 0.08)	23.84% ( -0.05)	16.91% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 44.01% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.77% (

0.16)

55.22% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.54% (

0.13)

76.46% (

-0.13)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.58% (

0.09)

18.42% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.42% (

0.15)

49.58% (

-0.15)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.95% (

0.06)

46.05% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.24% (

0.05)

81.76% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 59.25%

Santos 16.91%

Draw 23.83%

Fortaleza	Draw	Santos
1-0 @ 14.35% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 12.13% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 59.25%	1-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.58% Total : 23.83%	0-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.31% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.41% Total : 16.91%