Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 64.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 13.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.14%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	America Mineiro
64.68% ( 0.38)	21.61% ( 0.02)	13.71% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 43.28% (

-1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.71% (

-0.85)

52.29% (

0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.01% (

-0.74)

73.98% (

0.73)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.5% (

-0.16)

15.5% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.61% (

-0.3)

44.39% (

0.3)

America Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.21% (

-1.14)

48.79% (

1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.2% (

-0.83)

83.8% (

0.82)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 64.67%

America Mineiro 13.71%

Draw 21.6%

Sao Paulo	Draw	America Mineiro
1-0 @ 14.09% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 13.14% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.92% Total : 64.67%	1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.55% Total : 21.6%	0-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.7% Total : 13.71%