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Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 7, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Weserstadion
HL

Werder Bremen
2 - 3
Hoffenheim

Schmid (17'), Stage (90+1')
Keita (32'), Ducksch (45+1'), Weiser (56'), Rapp (58'), Jung (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Beier (8'), Promel (29'), Bulter (90+2')
Promel (69'), Akpoguma (72'), Baumann (90'), Vogt (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 4-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 Dortmund
Friday, September 29 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-2 Hoffenheim

Having ended last season in a serious slump after beginning the campaign so quickly to allay any relegation concerns, Werder Bremen could be in for a tougher campaign having sold their star striker Fullkrug to Dortmund. Hoffenheim, on the other hand, appear to be a more serious proposition under Hoeness despite losing to BVB in their last match, and we can envisage the offensive combination of Kramaric and Weghorst helping the visitors to a marginal victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.61%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawHoffenheim
30.73% (-0.434 -0.43) 22.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 46.82% (0.447 0.45)
Both teams to score 65.17% (-0.224 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.83% (-0.188 -0.19)35.17% (0.193 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.82% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)57.18% (0.215 0.21)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (-0.34400000000001 -0.34)22.85% (0.349 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.42% (-0.513 -0.51)56.58% (0.518 0.52)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.47% (0.088999999999999 0.09)15.53% (-0.084999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.55% (0.16399999999999 0.16)44.46% (-0.159 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 30.73%
    Hoffenheim 46.83%
    Draw 22.45%
Werder BremenDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 7.2% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 3.87% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 30.73%
1-1 @ 9.76% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.71% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.55% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 2.05% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.45%
1-2 @ 9.09% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.61% (0.084 0.08)
0-2 @ 6.15% (0.096 0.1)
1-3 @ 5.64% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 4.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.82% (0.07 0.07)
1-4 @ 2.63% (0.03 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.78% (0.038 0.04)
1-5 @ 0.98% (0.014 0.01)
3-4 @ 0.95% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 46.83%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 4-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-1 FC Koln
Saturday, September 23 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 4-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 4-0 Mainz
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-4 Bayern
Friday, August 18 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 Dortmund
Friday, September 29 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 1-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 2-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-2 Freiburg
Saturday, August 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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