Both teams have amassed impressive unbeaten runs in recent weeks, and there is unlikely to be much splitting the two teams on Saturday, especially with Leipzig missing Olmo and Nkunku through injury.
As such, given the amount at stake in terms of their pursuits to finish in the top four, we can envisage both teams settling for a point should the match be heading in that direction.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 18.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
