SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 65.86%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Copenhagen had a probability of 16.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.1%), while for a Copenhagen win it was 1-2 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Copenhagen |
65.86% ( -0.46) | 17.42% ( 0.21) | 16.72% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 65.64% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.15% ( -0.53) | 26.85% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.7% ( -0.68) | 47.3% ( 0.68) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.27% ( -0.23) | 7.73% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.48% ( -0.59) | 27.52% ( 0.6) |
| Copenhagen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.14% ( -0.08) | 28.86% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.27% ( -0.1) | 64.73% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Copenhagen |
| 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.05)4-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.38% Total : 65.86% | 1-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 2% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.45% Total : 17.42% | 1-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.65% Total : 16.72% |
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