Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 50.92%. A win for Copenhagen had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.5%) and 0-1 (6.5%). The likeliest Copenhagen win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Copenhagen | Draw | Manchester City |
27.43% (![]() | 21.65% (![]() | 50.92% (![]() |
Both teams to score 65.7% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.54% (![]() | 33.46% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.75% (![]() | 55.25% (![]() |
Copenhagen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.98% (![]() | 24.02% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.73% (![]() | 58.27% (![]() |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.47% (![]() | 13.53% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.41% (![]() | 40.59% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Copenhagen | Draw | Manchester City |
2-1 @ 6.61% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.63% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.15% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.57% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 2.77% Total : 27.43% | 1-1 @ 9.27% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.61% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.1% Other @ 0.42% Total : 21.65% | 1-2 @ 9.27% (![]() 0-2 @ 6.5% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 6.5% 1-3 @ 6.18% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.41% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.33% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.09% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 3.97% Total : 50.92% |
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