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FC
Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 13, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parken
MC

Copenhagen
1 - 3
Man City

Mattsson (34')
Falk (71'), Diks (74'), Neestrup (84')
FT(HT: 1-2)
De Bruyne (10'), Silva (45'), Foden (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Copenhagen 1-0 Galatasaray
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Man City 2-0 Everton
Saturday, February 10 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 50.92%. A win for Copenhagen had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.5%) and 0-1 (6.5%). The likeliest Copenhagen win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
CopenhagenDrawManchester City
27.43% (-0.041 -0.04) 21.65% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 50.92% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 65.7% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.54% (0.016000000000005 0.02)33.46% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.75% (0.018000000000001 0.02)55.25% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Copenhagen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)24.02% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.73% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)58.27% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.47% (0.019999999999996 0.02)13.53% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.41% (0.042000000000002 0.04)40.59% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Copenhagen 27.43%
    Manchester City 50.92%
    Draw 21.65%
CopenhagenDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 6.61% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.63% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.31% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 1.57% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 27.43%
1-1 @ 9.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 2.1%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 21.65%
1-2 @ 9.27% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 6.5%
1-3 @ 6.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.41% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 4.33% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.21% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 2.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-4 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 50.92%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Copenhagen 1-0 Galatasaray
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Copenhagen 1-2 Aarhus
Sunday, December 3 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Bayern 0-0 Copenhagen
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Viborg 2-1 Copenhagen
Saturday, November 25 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Copenhagen 0-0 Brondby
Sunday, November 12 at 11am in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Copenhagen 4-3 Man Utd
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Man City 2-0 Everton
Saturday, February 10 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-3 Man City
Monday, February 5 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 3-1 Burnley
Wednesday, January 31 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 0-1 Man City
Friday, January 26 at 8pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Newcastle 2-3 Man City
Saturday, January 13 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 5-0 Huddersfield
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup


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