After two games without a win, we expect a response from Bournemouth in this match and are predicting the Cherries to triumph. If we have learned anything this season it is to not write off Derby, but it seems a big ask for the Rams to get something in this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 71.64%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 10.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.65%) and 3-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bournemouth in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bournemouth.

Result
Bournemouth	Draw	Derby County
71.64%	18.09%	10.27%

Both teams to score 43.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.95%

46.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.65%

68.35%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.49%

11.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.61%

36.39%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.13%

50.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.75%

85.25%

Score Analysis

Bournemouth 71.62%

Derby County 10.27%

Draw 18.09%

Bournemouth	Draw	Derby County
2-0 @ 13.68% 1-0 @ 12.65% 3-0 @ 9.86% 2-1 @ 9.25% 3-1 @ 6.67% 4-0 @ 5.33% 4-1 @ 3.6% 5-0 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 2.25% 5-1 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.25% Total : 71.62%	1-1 @ 8.56% 0-0 @ 5.86% 2-2 @ 3.13% Other @ 0.56% Total : 18.09%	0-1 @ 3.96% 1-2 @ 2.89% 0-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.09% Total : 10.27%