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Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 25, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
ML

Luton
0 - 1
Millwall


Andersen (74'), Walsh (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ivanovic (61')
Saville (71'), Cooper (74'), Honeyman (88'), Tanganga (90+7')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-2 Luton
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-2 Cardiff
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Millwall

Both of these sides are still searching for their first league victory under their new managers, although Millwall's wait has been considerably longer. With Luton performing better in their home games this season, we think they can grab a much-needed win this weekend against the Lions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawMillwall
40.58% (0.172 0.17) 28.8% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 30.62% (-0.226 -0.23)
Both teams to score 44.6% (-0.224 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.23% (-0.242 -0.24)61.77% (0.243 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.43% (-0.178 -0.18)81.56% (0.181 0.18)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.15% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)29.85% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.06% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)65.94% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.57% (-0.302 -0.3)36.42% (0.302 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79% (-0.306 -0.31)73.21% (0.30699999999999 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 40.58%
    Millwall 30.62%
    Draw 28.79%
Luton TownDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 13.14% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.95% (0.063 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 40.58%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 10.87% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.79%
0-1 @ 10.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 30.62%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-2 Luton
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 0-0 Preston
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-0 Luton
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: QPR 2-1 Luton
Monday, January 6 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 0-1 Norwich
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Luton
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-2 Cardiff
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Hull City
Saturday, January 18 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 3-0 Dag & Red
Monday, January 13 at 7.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-2 Millwall
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Oxford Utd
Wednesday, January 1 at 1pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 0-0 Millwall
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship


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