It will not be easy for Nottingham Forest to temporarily put the FA Cup to the back of their minds, but they should still be able to overcome a Reading side who find themselves in a difficult patch again. The Royals' leaky defence will put them on the back foot at the City Ground.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 58.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Reading had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.
