It will not be easy for Nottingham Forest to temporarily put the FA Cup to the back of their minds, but they should still be able to overcome a Reading side who find themselves in a difficult patch again. The Royals' leaky defence will put them on the back foot at the City Ground. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 58.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Reading had a probability of 18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Reading
58.72%	23.28%	18%

Both teams to score 47.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.4%

51.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.61%

73.39%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.71%

17.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.37%

47.63%

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.45%

42.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.09%

78.91%

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 58.71%

Reading 18%

Draw 23.28%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Reading
1-0 @ 12.91% 2-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 9.68% 3-0 @ 6.63% 3-1 @ 5.67% 4-0 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-2 @ 1.06% 5-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.6% Total : 58.71%	1-1 @ 11.03% 0-0 @ 7.36% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.28%	0-1 @ 6.29% 1-2 @ 4.71% 0-2 @ 2.69% 1-3 @ 1.34% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.8% Total : 18%