Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 89.21%. A draw had a probability of 7.6% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 3.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (10.35%) and 0-2 (10.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.55%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 2-1 (1.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Beijing Guoan in this match.
Result | ||
Shenzhen | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
3.21% ( 0) | 7.59% ( 0.01) | 89.21% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 43.48% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.1% ( -0.01) | 22.9% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
57.87% ( -0.01) | 42.13% ( 0.01) |
Shenzhen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.88% ( 0.01) | 55.11% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.05% ( 0.01) | 87.95% ( -0.01) |
Beijing Guoan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.88% ( -0) | 3.12% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
86.06% ( -0.01) | 13.94% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Shenzhen | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
2-1 @ 1.06% ( 0) 1-0 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 1.12% Total : 3.21% | 1-1 @ 3.55% ( 0) 2-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) 0-0 @ 1.72% ( 0) Other @ 0.48% Total : 7.59% | 0-3 @ 11.94% 0-4 @ 10.35% 0-2 @ 10.33% 0-5 @ 7.18% ( -0) 1-3 @ 7.12% ( 0) 1-4 @ 6.17% 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0) 1-5 @ 4.28% ( -0) 0-6 @ 4.15% ( -0) 1-6 @ 2.47% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0) 0-7 @ 2.06% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.84% ( 0) 2-5 @ 1.28% ( 0) 1-7 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 4.56% Total : 89.19% |
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