Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 49.76%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.97%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
