The first leg proved to be a closely-fought match, and that is likely to be the case once again, as there is not much to separate the teams in terms of quality. However, the visitors have a lead to protect, and they are also working well in front of goal right now, which is something that should lead to them earning a place in the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Bodo/Glimt win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%).

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Bodo/Glimt
47.21%	25.03%	27.76%

Both teams to score 54.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.13%

48.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.04%

70.96%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.27%

20.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.64%

53.35%

Bodo/Glimt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.24%

31.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.81%

68.19%

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 47.2%

Bodo/Glimt 27.76%

Draw 25.03%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Bodo/Glimt
1-0 @ 10.36% 2-1 @ 9.35% 2-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 4.9% 3-0 @ 4.28% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.93% 4-0 @ 1.68% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.64% Total : 47.2%	1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.59% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.03%	0-1 @ 7.55% 1-2 @ 6.82% 0-2 @ 4.33% 1-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.75% Total : 27.76%