Masters of taking the lead and then grinding out a gritty victory, a well-drilled Juventus side can nullify Sporting's lively attack and take a slim advantage with them to Lisbon next week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
31.65% ( -0.02)	25.64% ( -0)	42.71% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 54.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.48% (

0.01)

49.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.45% (

71.55% (

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.67% (

-0.01)

29.33% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.7% (

-0.01)

65.3% (

0.02)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.93% (

0.02)

23.07% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.1% (

0.02)

56.9% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Juventus 31.65%

Sporting Lisbon 42.71%

Draw 25.64%

Juventus	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.09% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 31.65%	1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 6.76% 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.64%	0-1 @ 9.92% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.28% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 42.71%