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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
31.65% ( -0.02) | 25.64% ( -0) | 42.71% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.48% ( 0.01) | 49.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.45% ( 0) | 71.55% ( 0) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.67% ( -0.01) | 29.33% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.7% ( -0.01) | 65.3% ( 0.02) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.93% ( 0.02) | 23.07% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.1% ( 0.02) | 56.9% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Juventus | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.09% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 31.65% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 6.76% 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 9.92% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.28% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 42.71% |
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