Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 36.51%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 1-0 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
