SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 18 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 18 | -16 | 11 |
| 10 | University College Dublin | 18 | -27 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Dundalk | 18 | 13 | 34 |
| 3 | Derry City | 19 | 15 | 33 |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 19 | 8 | 28 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 47.26%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.33%) and 1-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| University College Dublin | Draw | Derry City |
| 25.6% | 27.14% | 47.26% |
| Both teams to score 46.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.67% | 58.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.05% | 78.95% |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.36% | 38.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.62% | 75.39% |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.27% | 24.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.72% | 59.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| University College Dublin | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 9.09% 2-1 @ 6.04% 2-0 @ 4.32% 3-1 @ 1.91% 3-0 @ 1.37% 3-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.54% Total : 25.6% | 1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 9.56% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.14% | 0-1 @ 13.35% 0-2 @ 9.33% 1-2 @ 8.87% 0-3 @ 4.34% 1-3 @ 4.13% 2-3 @ 1.96% 0-4 @ 1.52% 1-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.32% Total : 47.26% |
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