Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Finn Harps had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Finn Harps win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
