Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Finn Harps had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Finn Harps win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
