Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 45.42%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 26.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 0-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
