Sunderland's form may have taken a dip as of late, but the Black Cats should head into this match as the favourites due to their league positioning alone, and they will be confident of securing three points. Fleetwood Town have got a lot to fight for within this match in their own right, but the hosts should have enough quality to just edge things. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 70.72%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 11.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Fleetwood Town
70.72%	18.14%	11.14%

Both teams to score 46.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.15%

43.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.76%

66.24%

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.86%

11.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.41%

35.59%

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.19%

47.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.91%

83.09%

Score Analysis

Sunderland 70.7%

Fleetwood Town 11.14%

Draw 18.14%

Sunderland	Draw	Fleetwood Town
2-0 @ 12.82% 1-0 @ 11.68% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 9.38% 3-1 @ 6.93% 4-0 @ 5.15% 4-1 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 2.56% 5-0 @ 2.26% 5-1 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.59% Total : 70.7%	1-1 @ 8.63% 0-0 @ 5.33% 2-2 @ 3.49% Other @ 0.7% Total : 18.14%	0-1 @ 3.93% 1-2 @ 3.18% 0-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.58% Total : 11.14%