SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 58.11%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 21.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 1-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 (5.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Red Star Belgrade |
58.11% ( 0.04) | 20.62% ( 0.09) | 21.27% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 61.96% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.85% ( -0.65) | 35.15% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.84% ( -0.73) | 57.15% ( 0.73) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.02% ( -0.19) | 11.97% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.61% ( -0.42) | 37.38% ( 0.41) |
| Red Star Belgrade Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.39% ( -0.5) | 29.61% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.36% ( -0.61) | 65.64% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Red Star Belgrade |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.14)1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.64% Total : 58.11% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.62% | 1-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 21.27% |
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