SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 16.09%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 1-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Udinese |
64.5% ( -2.42) | 19.41% ( 0.63) | 16.09% ( 1.8) |
| Both teams to score 56.23% ( 2.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.96% ( 0.86) | 38.04% ( -0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.69% ( 0.91) | 60.3% ( -0.91) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.87% ( -0.38) | 11.13% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.44% ( -0.84) | 35.56% ( 0.84) |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.27% ( 2.88) | 36.72% ( -2.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.49% ( 2.78) | 73.51% ( -2.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Udinese |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.73)1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.52)3-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.66)4-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.43)3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.24)4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.22)Other @ 4.37% Total : 64.5% | 1-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.4)0-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.41% | 1-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.43) 0-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.22)2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.25)Other @ 2.29% Total : 16.09% |
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