Already nearing must-win territory for Paulo Fonseca, his Milan side will surely see off a Venezia team that look set for a long season of struggle. The visitors lack bite in the final third, and their shaky defence can be exploited by the guile and speed of Rafa Leao, Christian Pulisic and co. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 64.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 15.67%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Venezia
64.46% ( 0.01)	19.87% ( -0)	15.67% ( -0)

Both teams to score 53.55% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.93% (

0.01)

41.07% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.53% (

0.01)

63.46% (

-0.01)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.97% (

0.01)

12.03% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.49% (

0.01)

37.5% (

-0.01)

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.87% (

39.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.16% (

75.84%

Score Analysis

AC Milan 64.45%

Venezia 15.67%

Draw 19.87%

AC Milan	Draw	Venezia
2-0 @ 10.55% 1-0 @ 9.97% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 7.45% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.99% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.95% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.7% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.74% 5-0 @ 1.67% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 3.68% Total : 64.45%	1-1 @ 9.35% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.65% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.87%	0-1 @ 4.42% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.39% 0-2 @ 2.07% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.45% 1-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.97% Total : 15.67%