SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 59.79%. A win for Western United had a probability of 20.65% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.34%) and 3-1 (7.19%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (5.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Adelaide United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Western United |
59.79% ( 1.43) | 19.56% ( -0.27) | 20.65% ( -1.15) |
| Both teams to score 65.01% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.2% ( -0.3) | 30.8% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.85% ( -0.36) | 52.15% ( 0.36) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.8% ( 0.26) | 10.19% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.53% ( 0.6) | 33.47% ( -0.6) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.39% ( -1.15) | 27.61% ( 1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.85% ( -1.5) | 63.14% ( 1.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.13)1-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.1)5-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.59% Total : 59.79% | 1-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.41% Total : 19.56% | 1-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 1% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.49% Total : 20.65% |
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