Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
-0.95) 
0.14) 
