SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 61.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 16.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AEK Athens in this match.
| Result | ||
| AEK Athens | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
61.11% ( -0.76) | 22.18% ( 0.42) | 16.7% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 48.31% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.79% ( -1.17) | 49.21% ( 1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.72% ( -1.06) | 71.27% ( 1.06) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.37% ( -0.64) | 15.63% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.36% ( -1.2) | 44.64% ( 1.2) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.26% ( -0.27) | 42.73% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.93% ( -0.23) | 79.06% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Athens | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 1-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.12% Total : 61.1% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.81% Total : 22.18% | 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.68% Total : 16.7% |
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