SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 66.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 16.03%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.32%) and 1-3 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 2-1 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Fayha | Draw | Al-Nassr |
16.03% ( -0.09) | 17.88% ( -0.02) | 66.08% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 62.01% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.37% ( -0.07) | 30.63% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.05% ( -0.09) | 51.95% ( 0.09) |
| Al Fayha Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.9% ( -0.15) | 32.09% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.43% ( -0.18) | 68.57% ( 0.18) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.31% ( 0.01) | 8.68% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.09% ( 0.02) | 29.91% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Fayha | Draw | Al-Nassr |
| 2-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 16.03% | 1-1 @ 7.74% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 17.88% | 1-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 7.7% ( 0)0-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 6.78% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 4.71% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 4.14% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 2.3% ( 0)0-5 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 1.31% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)1-6 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 3.53% Total : 66.08% |
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