These two teams played out a 1-1 draw when they locked horns at the home of Alaves in the Segunda Division last season, and we are expecting the same scoreline to occur on Friday evening, as both managers will be wary of suffering what would be a damaging loss at this stage of the campaign.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Granada had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.
-0.76) 
0.29) 
