Alaves boss Garcia is seeking major improvements from his side following their below-par performance against Girona last time out, but keeping a rampant Real Madrid outfit quiet on Thursday will be a tall order.
Los Blancos, who will be motivated by the prospect of entering 2024 at the top of the table if they beat Alaves and Girona drop points at Real Betis, should have few problems claiming maximum points at Mendizorroza where they have had plenty of success in recent years.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
0.35) 
-0.36) 
