SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 71.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 9.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.5%) and 3-0 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Algeria | Draw | Guinea |
71.71% ( -0.52) | 18.36% ( 0.15) | 9.93% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 41.42% ( 0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.87% ( 0.45) | 48.12% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.71% ( 0.41) | 70.28% ( -0.41) |
| Algeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.92% ( -0.02) | 12.08% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.39% ( -0.03) | 37.61% ( 0.04) |
| Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.11% ( 1.06) | 52.88% ( -1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.42% ( 0.67) | 86.57% ( -0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Algeria | Draw | Guinea |
| 2-0 @ 14.27% ( -0.28) 1-0 @ 13.5% ( -0.26)3-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.21)2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.9% Total : 71.71% | 1-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.47% Total : 18.36% | 0-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.82% Total : 9.93% |
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