Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 53.21%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 24.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Almere City	Draw	NAC Breda
53.21% ( 0.56)	22.34% ( -0.19)	24.45% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 60.07% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.46% (

0.5)

39.54% (

-0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.11% (

0.52)

61.89% (

-0.52)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.07% (

0.36)

14.92% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.69% (

0.69)

43.31% (

-0.69)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.61% (

-0.03)

29.39% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.62% (

-0.04)

65.38% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Almere City 53.21%

NAC Breda 24.45%

Draw 22.33%

Almere City	Draw	NAC Breda
2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.11% Total : 53.21%	1-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.33%	1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.21% Total : 24.45%