Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 51.87%. A win for Lens had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
