SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
38.11% ( 0.39) | 26.06% ( -0.07) | 35.83% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 53.99% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.53% ( 0.28) | 50.48% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.6% ( 0.25) | 72.4% ( -0.25) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.13% ( 0.35) | 25.87% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.15% ( 0.47) | 60.85% ( -0.46) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.82% ( -0.05) | 27.18% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.42% ( -0.07) | 62.58% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
| 1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.43% Total : 38.11% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 35.83% |
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