Boosting morale before a trip to Austria in midweek, Atalanta can get back into action with another home win. Having occasionally struggled to produce their best in Bergamo over the past year, they are much-improved at the Gewiss Stadium this term and should be able to see off hit-and-miss Genoa.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 63.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 14.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
0.1) 
-0.29) 
