SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Barcelona |
35.53% ( 0.23) | 24.71% ( 0.16) | 39.76% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 58.67% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.57% ( -0.7) | 44.43% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.2% ( -0.69) | 66.8% ( 0.69) |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.49% ( -0.19) | 24.51% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.03% ( -0.28) | 58.97% ( 0.28) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.71% ( -0.5) | 22.29% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.26% ( -0.75) | 55.74% ( 0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Barcelona |
| 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.82% Total : 35.53% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.71% | 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 6.15% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.38% Total : 39.76% |
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