Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.23) 
-0.39) 
