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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.48%) and 3-1 (5.25%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atlanta United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
42.84% ( -3.94) | 22.1% ( 0.52) | 35.05% ( 3.42) |
| Both teams to score 68.43% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.32% ( -1.32) | 31.67% ( 1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.82% ( -1.56) | 53.18% ( 1.56) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.38% ( -1.9) | 15.62% ( 1.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.38% ( -3.63) | 44.62% ( 3.63) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.09% ( 1.09) | 18.9% ( -1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.6% ( 1.78) | 50.39% ( -1.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.52)2-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.32)3-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.27)3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.43)4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.43)4-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.28)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.32)4-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.23)Other @ 3.07% Total : 42.84% | 1-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.1% | 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.54) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.5)1-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.43)0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.54)2-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.37)1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.23)2-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.12)3-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.18)Other @ 2.66% Total : 35.05% |
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