Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 49.87%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 25.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
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