SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 56.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 19.96%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Gremio |
56.78% ( 1.02) | 23.25% ( -0.06) | 19.96% ( -0.96) |
| Both teams to score 50.86% ( -1.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.16% ( -0.97) | 48.83% ( 0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.06% ( -0.89) | 70.93% ( 0.89) |
| Atletico Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.01% ( 0.01) | 16.98% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.9% ( 0.02) | 47.09% ( -0.02) |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.27% ( -1.55) | 38.73% ( 1.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.53% ( -1.5) | 75.46% ( 1.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Gremio |
| 1-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.41)2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 5.8% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.57% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.95% Total : 56.77% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.25% | 0-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.45% Total : 19.96% |
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