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AP
Brasileiro | Gameweek 26
Sep 14, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Arena de Baixada
F

Athletico PR
1 - 1
Fortaleza

Canobbio (29')
Victor Machado Cruz (61'), Canobbio (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Moises (14')
Kuscevic (39'), Ricardo (84')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Fortaleza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Vasco (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, September 12 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Internacional 2-1 Fortaleza
Wednesday, September 11 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawFortaleza
56% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01) 23.71% (0.0019999999999989 0) 20.3% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 50% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.75% (0.0010000000000048 0)50.25% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.8% (0.0020000000000024 0)72.2% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.22% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)17.78% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.52% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)48.48% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.81% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)39.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.1% (0.010000000000002 0.01)75.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 55.99%
    Fortaleza 20.3%
    Draw 23.7%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 12.03%
2-0 @ 10.39%
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 5.98% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 55.99%
1-1 @ 11.27%
0-0 @ 6.97%
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 23.7%
0-1 @ 6.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 5.28% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 3.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.65% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 20.3%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Vasco (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, September 12 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Athletico PR 0-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, September 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 2-1 Athletico PR
Friday, August 30 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Vasco 2-1 Athletico PR
Tuesday, August 27 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Belgrano 0-2 Athletico PR
Thursday, August 22 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-2 Juventude
Sunday, August 18 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 2-1 Fortaleza
Wednesday, September 11 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Fortaleza
Sunday, September 1 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Fortaleza
Sunday, September 1 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Corinthians
Sunday, August 25 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 3-1 Rosario
Wednesday, August 21 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Bragantino 1-2 Fortaleza
Saturday, August 17 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro


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