SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 16.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Internacional |
61% ( 0.04) | 22.17% ( 0.03) | 16.84% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 48.63% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.07% ( -0.22) | 48.93% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.98% ( -0.21) | 71.02% ( 0.2) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.42% ( -0.07) | 15.57% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.46% ( -0.12) | 44.54% ( 0.11) |
| Internacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.6% ( -0.22) | 42.4% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.22% ( -0.19) | 78.78% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Internacional |
| 1-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.29% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 60.98% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.16% | 0-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.72% Total : 16.84% |
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