Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 37.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.24%) and 0-2 (5.14%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
Atletico San Luis	Draw	Toluca
37.98% ( 0.07)	23.13% ( -0.02)	38.89% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 64.87% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.53% (

0.1)

36.47% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.39% (

0.11)

58.61% (

-0.11)

Atletico San Luis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.33% (

0.08)

19.67% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.35% (

0.12)

51.65% (

-0.12)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.75% (

0.02)

19.25% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.03% (

0.04)

50.97% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Atletico San Luis 37.98%

Toluca 38.89%

Draw 23.12%

Atletico San Luis	Draw	Toluca
2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.01% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 3.29% Total : 37.98%	1-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.12%	1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.59% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.89% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 3.42% Total : 38.89%