SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 43.36%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 26.31%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.6%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Tucuman in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Independiente |
43.36% ( 0.05) | 30.33% ( -0) | 26.31% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 38.85% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.19% ( -0.02) | 67.81% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.19% ( -0.01) | 85.81% ( 0.01) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.67% ( 0.02) | 31.32% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.31% ( 0.02) | 67.68% ( -0.03) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.57% ( -0.06) | 43.43% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.35% ( -0.05) | 79.65% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 15.79% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 7.64% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 43.35% | 0-0 @ 13.6% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 13.17% 2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0)Other @ 0.37% Total : 30.32% | 0-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 26.31% |
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