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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.41%) and 2-0 (5.48%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
41.35% ( 0.03) | 23.03% ( 0.01) | 35.61% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 64.94% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.74% ( -0.03) | 36.26% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.62% ( -0.03) | 58.38% ( 0.03) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.91% ( 0) | 18.08% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.99% ( 0.01) | 49% ( -0.01) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.28% ( -0.03) | 20.72% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.67% ( -0.05) | 53.33% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.87% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 3.84% Total : 41.35% | 1-1 @ 10.08% 2-2 @ 6.79% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 35.61% |
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