SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 17.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | FC Winterthur |
62.02% ( -0.2) | 20.33% ( 0.17) | 17.64% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.34% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.48% ( -0.73) | 39.51% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.14% ( -0.77) | 61.85% ( 0.77) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.76% ( -0.28) | 12.23% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.06% ( -0.59) | 37.94% ( 0.59) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.19% ( -0.41) | 35.8% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.42% ( -0.42) | 72.58% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | FC Winterthur |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.12)1-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.81% Total : 62.02% | 1-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.33% | 1-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.57% Total : 17.64% |
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