Despite firing blanks on Wednesday, Bayern should return to winning ways in the league against Union, stopping the Iron Ones' two-game run in all competitions without losing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 81.33%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 6.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.62%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (2.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Union Berlin
81.33% ( 0.03)	12.07% ( -0.02)	6.6% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49.17% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.33% (

0.03)

29.66% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.21% (

0.03)

50.78% (

-0.03)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.49% (

0.01)

5.5% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.54% (

0.03)

21.46% (

-0.03)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.04% (

-0.02)

47.96% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.79% (

-0.01)

83.2% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 81.31%

Union Berlin 6.6%

Draw 12.07%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Union Berlin
2-0 @ 11.09% 3-0 @ 10.72% 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.88% 4-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.71% ( 0) 5-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 3.31% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0) 6-0 @ 2.18% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.1% 6-1 @ 1.6% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.22% ( 0) 7-0 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 81.31%	1-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.64% ( -0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 12.07%	1-2 @ 2.07% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 6.6%